Ratchaburivs
Chonburi FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ratchaburi · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ratchaburi 1-2 Chonburi FC
Original prediction
Ratchaburi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.6% | 64.1% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 20.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.09 | 17.7% | 15.6% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Ratchaburi
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Ratchaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60