Ratchaburivs
Bangkok United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangkok United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ratchaburi 1-0 Bangkok United
Original prediction
Bangkok United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.9% | 32.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.6% | 28.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 40.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Bangkok United
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Bangkok United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20