Rasi Salai Unitedvs
Port FC
COMPLETEDThailand · FA Cup · 10/21/2026, 12:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rasi Salai United 1-3 Port FC
Original prediction
Port FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 17:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.29 | 14.3% | 32.9% | 18.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.0% | 25.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.7% | 41.3% | -23.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Port FC
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Port FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rasi Salai UnitedLLDLL
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Port FCWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rasi Salai UnitedPort FC
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.75xG1.50