GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Port FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rasi Salai United 1-2 Port FC

Original prediction

Port FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.8418.3%24.8%6.5 pts
Draw3.5924.7%25.7%1.1 pts
Away1.5557.0%49.5%-7.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

Port FC

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Port FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rasi Salai UnitedDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Port FCLDWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rasi Salai UnitedPort FC
50.0Attack80.0
50.0Defence58.9
50.0Form63.3
50.0Power66.3
1.25xG2.25
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