Rasi Salai Unitedvs
Lamphun Warrior
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rasi Salai United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rasi Salai United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior
Original prediction
Rasi Salai United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.3% | 40.1% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 26.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 39.9% | 33.4% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Rasi Salai United
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Rasi Salai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60