GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 9/11/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yverdon Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rapperswil 2-0 Yverdon Sport

Original prediction

Yverdon Sport

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3427.4%19.4%-8.0 pts
Draw3.8024.1%19.9%-4.2 pts
Away1.8948.5%60.7%12.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.0–29%
  3. 3.1–38%

Predicted outcome

Yverdon Sport

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RapperswilLDLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Yverdon SportWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RapperswilYverdon Sport
47.6Attack66.7
23.8Defence66.7
19.0Form71.4
33.5Power69.8
1.07xG2.60
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