GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 10/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rapperswil 0-3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Original prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.6425.1%19.3%-5.8 pts
Draw3.9123.4%20.9%-2.4 pts
Away1.7751.5%59.8%8.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–211%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.1–210%

Predicted outcome

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RapperswilWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stade Lausanne-OuchyDWDWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RapperswilStade Lausanne-Ouchy
55.6Attack63.0
40.7Defence88.9
37.0Form77.8
45.6Power76.4
0.96xG2.18
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