Rapperswilvs
FC ST. Gallen
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Schweizer Cup · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rapperswil 0-2 FC ST. Gallen
Original prediction
FC ST. Gallen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.99 | 15.2% | 33.3% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 19.0% | 24.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.9% | 42.4% | -23.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
FC ST. Gallen
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20