Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:19
Rapperswil

Rapperswil

Home
W
31
Full time
Cham

Cham

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Cham33%
Rapperswil33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Rapperswil
Win probability
Rapperswil
33%
Draw
33%
Cham
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rapperswil
94
Cham
34
Defence
Rapperswil
66
Cham
6
Momentum
Rapperswil
100
Cham
0
Danger (xG)
Rapperswil
2.70
Cham
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.61 xG for Rapperswil and 1.16 xG for Cham — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.45), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.76 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Rapperswil)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Cham)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Rapperswil)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cham)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RapperswilRapperswil
WWL
ChamCham
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Rapperswil33%
Draw33%
Cham33%

Cham leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Rapperswil Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Rapperswil take on Cham in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.61 for Rapperswil and 1.16 for Cham. The gap of 0.45 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows null have won 7 of the last 10 meetings — a competitive history that suggests null's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • Rapperswil have been conceding 2.09 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Rapperswil 1Draws 00 Cham
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Rapperswil
W31
Cham

Recent form

Rapperswil

Rapperswil

W
vs Cham
17 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Stade Nyonnais
15 May 2026
21
L
@ Yverdon Sport
11 May 2026
13
Cham

Cham

L
@ Rapperswil
17 Jul 2026
13
D
vs Young Boys II
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rapperswil vs Cham?

GoalVio's model predicts Rapperswil to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rapperswil vs Cham?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Rapperswil vs Cham?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rapperswil vs Cham?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more