GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rapid Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rapid Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens

Original prediction

Rapid Vienna

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3568.7%61.9%-6.9 pts
Draw5.1318.1%20.2%2.0 pts
Away7.0713.2%18.0%4.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Rapid Vienna

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

61.9%

Rapid Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rapid ViennaWWLWD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WSG WattensDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Rapid ViennaWSG Wattens
100.0Attack50.0
61.1Defence50.0
83.3Form44.4
76.5Power48.3
2.30xG1.05
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