Rapid Viennavs
TSV Hartberg
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rapid Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rapid Vienna 3-1 TSV Hartberg
Original prediction
Rapid Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 74.9% | 76.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.08 | 15.4% | 14.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 9.66 | 9.7% | 10.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Rapid Vienna
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
76.0%
Rapid Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60