GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/26/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rapid Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rapid Vienna 1-1 Heart Of Midlothian

Original prediction

Rapid Vienna

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5460.2%53.5%-6.7 pts
Draw4.2921.7%23.9%2.2 pts
Away5.1418.1%22.6%4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Rapid Vienna

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Rapid Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rapid ViennaDWWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Heart Of MidlothianDWDWL

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rapid ViennaHeart Of Midlothian
100.0Attack66.7
60.0Defence33.3
86.7Form33.3
82.0Power45.3
2.36xG1.10
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