Rapid Viennavs
Austria Lustenau
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rapid Vienna · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (13%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rapid Vienna 5-1 Austria Lustenau
Original prediction
Rapid Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 78.8% | 85.2% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.11 | 13.1% | 9.5% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 11.49 | 8.1% | 5.3% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Rapid Vienna
Probability
85.2%
Model confidence
85.2%
Rapid Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00