RANS Nusantaravs
Persela Lamongan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/17/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persela Lamongan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RANS Nusantara 1-0 Persela Lamongan
Original prediction
Persela Lamongan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 33.5% | 31.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 26.8% | 24.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 39.7% | 43.5% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Persela Lamongan
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Persela Lamongan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20