1. Division1. Division
Friday, 19 June 2026Last updated 10:00
Ranheim

Ranheim

Home
L
32
Full time
Lyn

Lyn

Away
W
EXTRA Arena
GoalVio prediction
70% confidence
Ranheim(70%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Ranheim
Win probability
Ranheim
70%
Draw
17%
Lyn
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ranheim
73
Lyn
100
Defence
Ranheim
0
Lyn
27
Momentum
Ranheim
0
Lyn
100
Danger (xG)
Ranheim
1.80
Lyn
5.40
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.64 xG for Ranheim and 1.16 xG for Lyn — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Ranheim holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Ranheim's Attack Score (73) exceeds Lyn's Defensive Stability (27), and Lyn's attack (100) similarly tests Ranheim's defence (0). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.81 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Ranheim's Attack Score (73) vs Lyn's Defensive Stability (27) and Lyn's attack (100) vs Ranheim's defence (0) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Ranheim)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Lyn)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (Ranheim)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Lyn)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RanheimRanheim
LLWL
LynLyn
WLLL

Probability breakdown

70% confidence
Ranheim70%
Draw17%
Lyn13%

Ranheim leads with 70% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Ranheim Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-0

Ranheim host Lyn in 1. Division. Ranheim have recorded DLWLLL in recent matches while Lyn arrive with a run of LLLLWD. These sides have met 6 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.64 expected goals for Ranheim against 1.16 for Lyn — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Ranheim have averaged 2.05 goals per game recently while Lyn have managed 1.59. Ranheim carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Ranheim win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Lyn have won 1 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Ranheim carry the stronger underlying metrics, Lyn's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Ranheim are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.64 projected against 1.16 for Lyn. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.48 is the clearest signal in the model that Ranheim are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Ranheim's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Lyn defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Ranheim fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Ranheim have been conceding 3.12 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 6 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Head to head

Ranheim 1Draws 00 Lyn
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
19 Jun 2026
Ranheim
W32
Lyn

Recent form

Ranheim

Ranheim

L
vs Stabaek
3 Jul 2026
25
L
@ Asane
27 Jun 2026
03
W
vs Lyn
19 Jun 2026
32
L
@ Stromsgodset
16 May 2026
45
Lyn

Lyn

W
vs Asane
2 Jul 2026
62
L
vs hodd
27 Jun 2026
14
L
@ Ranheim
19 Jun 2026
23
L
vs Kongsvinger
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ranheim vs Lyn?

GoalVio's model predicts Ranheim to win with 70% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ranheim vs Lyn?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Ranheim vs Lyn?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ranheim vs Lyn?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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