Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Ranheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while hodd are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.6% in the 1. Division, while Ranheim holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ranheim
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
6.6%
Ranheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20