Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ranheim 5-0 Egersund
Original prediction
Ranheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.0% | 46.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 22.3% | 22.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.8% | 30.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Ranheim
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Ranheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RanheimWWDDL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EgersundLWDDD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
RanheimEgersund
81.2Attack52.2
15.9Defence36.2
40.6Form42.0
45.9Power44.2
3.39xG2.44