Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ranheim 2-2 Asane
Original prediction
Ranheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.9% | 52.2% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.5% | 21.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.6% | 25.9% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Ranheim
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Ranheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RanheimDLLLW
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AsaneDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
RanheimAsane
79.4Attack50.8
12.7Defence27.0
38.1Form30.2
43.6Power37.6
3.86xG2.38