Ranheim IIvs
Aalesund II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 5-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ranheim II 2-0 Aalesund II
Original prediction
Ranheim II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.6% | 47.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.77 | 18.9% | 22.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.5% | 29.8% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–37%
- 2.5–36%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Ranheim II
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Ranheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20