GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hammarby W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rangers W 0-3 Hammarby W

Original prediction

Hammarby W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8823.2%29.5%6.3 pts
Draw3.5825.2%27.5%2.3 pts
Away1.7551.6%42.9%-8.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Hammarby W

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Hammarby W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rangers WLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hammarby WWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Rangers WHammarby W
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power88.7
1.43xG1.94
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