Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Rangers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tottenham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60