Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rangers 1-0 ST Mirren
Original prediction
Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 70.6% | 45.9% | -24.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.9% | 26.2% | 8.2 pts |
| Away | 8.17 | 11.5% | 27.9% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RangersWWWLW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ST MirrenLWDLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RangersST Mirren
40.0Attack53.3
73.3Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
63.4Power64.6
1.14xG1.03