GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Rangers 1-0 ST Johnstone, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Rangers 4-0 ST Johnstone

Original prediction

Rangers

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2177.9%55.4%-22.6 pts
Draw6.5914.3%25.2%10.9 pts
Away12.057.8%19.5%11.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.6 pts

Projected Score

Rangers 1–0 ST Johnstone

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Rangers

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ST JohnstoneDWDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RangersST Johnstone
48.1Attack40.7
74.1Defence59.3
74.1Form44.4
68.6Power51.1
1.36xG0.61
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