GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rangers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rangers

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sparta PrahaWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RangersSparta Praha
33.3Attack61.1
50.0Defence27.8
16.7Form44.4
36.5Power45.1
2.04xG1.71
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