GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Betis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rangers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Betis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Betis hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Betis holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Betis

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real BetisLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RangersReal Betis
33.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence61.1
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power54.8
1.18xG1.41
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