GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rangers 1-0 Motherwell

Original prediction

Rangers

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4764.0%41.7%-22.3 pts
Draw4.4721.1%26.0%5.0 pts
Away6.3014.9%32.3%17.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Rangers

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MotherwellWDLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RangersMotherwell
41.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
58.8Power67.6
1.20xG1.31
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