Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Rangers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lyon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40