GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rangers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Livingston are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Premiership, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rangers

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LivingstonDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RangersLivingston
33.3Attack25.4
50.0Defence38.6
16.7Form21.9
36.5Power31.7
1.79xG0.69
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