Rangersvs
Kilmarnock
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rangers 2-0 Kilmarnock, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Original prediction
Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 82.4% | 62.8% | -19.7 pts |
| Draw | 8.15 | 11.6% | 21.5% | 10.0 pts |
| Away | 15.61 | 6.0% | 15.7% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.7 pts
Projected Score
Rangers 2–0 Kilmarnock
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RangersWWWWW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KilmarnockDWDDL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
RangersKilmarnock
38.1Attack28.6
81.0Defence28.6
76.2Form23.8
68.8Power30.2
1.90xG0.54