GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rangers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

12.9%

Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersLLDWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
JagielloniaLWWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RangersJagiellonia
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.22xG1.59
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