Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rangers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Genk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60