GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/13/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fenerbahçe

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FenerbahçeLWDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RangersFenerbahçe
33.3Attack47.2
50.0Defence55.6
16.7Form47.2
36.5Power51.6
1.24xG1.34
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