Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FCSB are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60