Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rangers 3-0 Celtic
Original prediction
Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 37.1% | 38.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.1% | 26.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.8% | 35.0% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RangersWWWWL
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CelticWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RangersCeltic
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power97.0
1.71xG1.52