Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranger's · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ranger's 3-0 Carroi
Original prediction
Ranger's
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 77.3% | 55.2% | -22.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.02 | 14.8% | 22.8% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 11.39 | 7.8% | 22.1% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ranger's
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Ranger's has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ranger'sLWDWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CarroiDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Ranger'sCarroi
33.3Attack22.2
44.4Defence11.1
44.4Form11.1
43.8Power19.9
1.91xG1.17