GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RangersLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic ClubDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RangersAthletic Club
33.3Attack52.4
50.0Defence59.5
16.7Form61.9
36.5Power58.7
1.10xG1.52
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