Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Rangers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AS Roma are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00