Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rangers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aris are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80