GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cobreloa · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rangers de Talca 0-1 Cobreloa

Original prediction

Cobreloa

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0044.8%26.7%-18.1 pts
Draw3.7024.2%24.7%0.4 pts
Away2.9030.9%48.6%17.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

17.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–214%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Cobreloa

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Cobreloa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rangers de TalcaLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CobreloaWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rangers de TalcaCobreloa
33.3Attack60.7
45.2Defence64.3
25.0Form60.7
36.9Power62.0
0.71xG1.96
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