Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Randers FC

Randers FC

Home
WD
31
Full time
Notts County

Notts County

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Notts County46%
Draw35%
Randers FC19%
Prediction missed— Result: Randers FC
Win probability
Randers FC
19%
Draw
35%
Notts County
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Randers FC
86
Notts County
34
Defence
Randers FC
46
Notts County
6
Momentum
Randers FC
67
Notts County
0
Danger (xG)
Randers FC
2.25
Notts County
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.53 xG for Randers FC and 1.42 xG for Notts County — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.11), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.95 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Randers FC)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Notts County)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Randers FC)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Notts County)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Randers FCRanders FC
WDD
Notts CountyNotts County
LD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Randers FC19%
Draw35%
Notts County46%

Notts County leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Notts County Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Randers FC take on Notts County in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Randers FC 1Draws 00 Notts County
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Randers FC
W31
Notts County

Recent form

Randers FC

Randers FC

W
vs Notts County
14 Jul 2026
31
D
@ Vejle
3 Jul 2026
22
D
vs Odense
11 May 2026
22
Notts County

Notts County

L
@ Randers FC
14 Jul 2026
13
D
vs Chesterfield
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Randers FC vs Notts County?

GoalVio's model predicts Notts County to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Randers FC vs Notts County?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Notts County?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Randers FC vs Notts County?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more