Randers FCvs
Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (8%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Randers FC 2-1 Aarhus
Original prediction
Aarhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.7% | 34.1% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.9% | 26.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 45.5% | 39.2% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–08%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Aarhus
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Randers FCLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
AarhusLDLLL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Randers FCAarhus
20.0Attack50.0
53.3Defence41.7
26.7Form25.0
35.1Power42.1
1.30xG1.34