GGOALVIO

Nigeria · NPFL · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ranchers Bees · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Ranchers Bees 0-0 Niger Tornadoes, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Ranchers Bees 0-0 Niger Tornadoes

Original prediction

Ranchers Bees

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6156.3%45.1%-11.2 pts
Draw3.2727.7%29.1%1.4 pts
Away5.6616.0%25.8%9.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.2 pts

Projected Score

Ranchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Ranchers Bees

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Ranchers Bees has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ranchers BeesLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Niger TornadoesWLDLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ranchers BeesNiger Tornadoes
42.9Attack27.8
52.4Defence61.1
33.3Form27.8
43.2Power41.8
1.12xG0.85
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