Ranchers Beesvs
Bendel Insurance
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranchers Bees · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ranchers Bees 2-1 Bendel Insurance
Original prediction
Ranchers Bees
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.7% | 38.9% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 27.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 5.17 | 17.4% | 33.7% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Ranchers Bees
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Ranchers Bees has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40