Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rana 0-1 Lørenskog
Original prediction
Rana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.6% | 46.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.2% | 19.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.3% | 33.4% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Rana
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Rana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RanaLWDWW
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LørenskogDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RanaLørenskog
63.0Attack51.9
33.3Defence44.4
44.4Form50.0
49.0Power48.4
2.33xG1.97