Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rana 0-1 Hønefoss
Original prediction
Hønefoss
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.0% | 21.4% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.1% | 16.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 50.0% | 61.9% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RanaLLWDW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HønefossDWWWL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RanaHønefoss
59.6Attack87.7
35.1Defence50.9
42.1Form68.4
47.7Power67.8
1.84xG3.44