Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rana are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Grorud are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grorud hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Grorud holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
10.8%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00