Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rana 3-3 Follo
Original prediction
Rana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.2% | 68.8% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.3% | 16.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.4% | 15.1% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–07%
Predicted outcome
Rana
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Rana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RanaWWLLW
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FolloLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RanaFollo
60.0Attack35.6
37.8Defence28.9
44.4Form20.0
49.3Power31.2
3.01xG1.19