Ramsgatevs
Carshalton Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ramsgate · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ramsgate 2-3 Carshalton Athletic
Original prediction
Ramsgate
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.8% | 49.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 23.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 27.2% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Ramsgate
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Ramsgate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40