Réal Bamakovs
ES Zarzis
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Réal Bamako · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Réal Bamako 2-2 ES Zarzis
Original prediction
Réal Bamako
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.5% | 49.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.5% | 27.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 21.9% | 23.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Réal Bamako
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Réal Bamako has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40