EkstraklasaEkstraklasa
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

Home
D
12
Full time
Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock

Away
WW
Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Raków Częstochowa(61%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Raków Częstochowa
61%
Draw
24%
Wisla Plock
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Raków Częstochowa
34
Wisla Plock
86
Defence
Raków Częstochowa
66
Wisla Plock
91
Momentum
Raków Częstochowa
33
Wisla Plock
100
Danger (xG)
Raków Częstochowa
0.90
Wisla Plock
2.25
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Raków Częstochowa)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Wisla Plock)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Raków Częstochowa)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Wisla Plock)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
DWL
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
WWL

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Raków Częstochowa61%
Draw24%
Wisla Plock15%

Raków Częstochowa leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Raków Częstochowa head into this in Ekstraklasa fixture at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie in mixed form (D), while Wisla Plock arrive in decent form (WW). Raków Częstochowa have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Wisla Plock over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Raków Częstochowa (66/100) and Wisla Plock (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Raków Częstochowa have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Wisla Plock have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Raków Częstochowa and Wisla Plock in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Raków Częstochowa to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Raków Częstochowa 6080%, Draw 2400%, Wisla Plock 1520%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

D
@ GKS Katowice
16 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Piast Gliwice
17 May 2026
31
L
vs Jagiellonia
13 May 2026
02
Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock

W
vs ŁKS Łódź
17 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Bohemians 1905
14 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Gornik Zabrze
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

GoalVio's model predicts Raków Częstochowa to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more